Dow Jones and S&P 500 Climb Thursday as Wall Street Shakes Off Three-Day Slump Before SpaceX IPO

After getting knocked around for three days, Wall Street decided it was time to get back up on Thursday morning.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI +0.54%) climbed 0.7% by noon, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.02%) added 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC +0.25%) was up 0.6%, though it had been running as high as 1.3% earlier before losing some steam. A brief scare around 11 a.m., when a false hazmat alarm triggered a Pentagon lockdown, sent all three indexes into a brief dip toward flat for a few minutes. The all-clear came quickly, and so did the buyers.

^DJI data by YCharts

Behind Thursday's modest bounce

Semiconductor stocks led the morning rally after entering correction territory earlier this week.

Chip equipment makers posted particularly strong gains, with Lam Research (LRCX +6.45%) up 8.4% and Micron Technology (MU +2.72%) rising 3.6%. Analysts have been raising price targets and talking up AI-driven demand. However, these stocks are too small to make a serious difference to any of the leading indexes today, despite their large jumps.

Likewise, Oracle (ORCL 12.72%) barely made a ripple on the S&P 500 index, and isn't even a member of the Nasdaq and Dow Jones lists. The averages barely noticed the software giant's beat-and-raise report with a $70 billion next-year budget for capital expenses, which sent the stock as much as 12.9% lower in the morning.

On the other hand, Google parent Alphabet (GOOG 2.52%) (GOOGL 2.57%) is down just 2.2% with no huge news of its own. Yet, it is moving the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 indexes more than any other stock today. That's the index-moving power of a $4.2 trillion market cap.

The morning's inflation data didn't help the market mood. The Producer Price Index rose 1.1% in May, hotter than the 0.7% Wall Street expected. Year-over-year, wholesale prices are up 6.5%, the biggest jump in over three years. The culprit is mostly energy, as oil-related costs accounted for about 80% of the increase.

Meanwhile, the U.S.-Iran situation remains fluid. President Trump threatened further military action overnight, and Iran claimed it had closed the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. officials dispute that, and reports suggest diplomatic back channels are still active. It's hard to tell what's going on behind the scenes in and around Iran. Oil prices reflected the uncertainty, with West Texas Intermediate up by 0.5%.

Looking ahead

Thursday's session reflects a market caught between competing forces. Investors are bargain-hunting in semiconductors after a 10% correction, but sticky inflation and geopolitical risk are capping the enthusiasm. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT +0.77%) rose 1.2%, reverting to Bitcoin's (BTC +0.45%) long-running pattern of rising alongside volatile equities rather than acting as a traditional safe haven.

All eyes now turn to the Friday session, when SpaceX (expected ticker: SPCX) is expected to debut on public markets at a valuation near $1.75 trillion. Some analysts believe this week's tech weakness partly reflects investors selling existing positions to make room for the largest stock offering ever.

For investors with a longer time horizon, the lesson is familiar: one green day doesn't erase the questions that caused the red ones. Inflation, interest rates, and geopolitics haven't gone anywhere. They're just taking a breather. Time will tell how long the uptick lasts.