Here’s what bitcoin needs to break above $87,000
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Key takeaways
- Experts emphasize that sustained ETF inflows above $300 million per session are needed to offset macro pressure.
- Large daily inflows are viewed as more significant than extended minor inflow streaks.
“I read the current move as evidence that the ETF bid that carried September has not yet returned strongly enough to offset renewed macro pressure. ETF inflows above roughly $300 million a session for several sessions (my threshold rather than a market one) would be an important signal that institutional demand is returning,” Oliver Carding, head of marketing at Tesseract Group, said in an email.
Martin Lee, head of content and data insights at DWF Labs, said large daily inflows matter more than extended inflow streaks that cumulatively bring in only a few hundred million dollars.
“Looking across the year, we've had 93 out of 190 (48%) trading days be negative while still seeing net $1.2B of inflows. Longer-term (week/month) size of flows is more important compared to daily, which is almost a coin flip this year, but definitely something worth monitoring to see how the situation progresses,” he said.
Meanwhile, other types of buyers are accumulating.
“Investors appear to be using periods of weakness to accumulate and dollar-cost average alongside institutional buyers,” Paul Howard, senior director at Wincent, said. “Many market participants are continuing to target Bitcoin at $100k+.”
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