"Supply Shocks Are Back": Goldman Says The 60/40 Needs A Third Leg, And It Isn't Crypto

In this news:

Key takeaways

  • Goldman Sachs recommends a third asset class for the traditional 60/40 portfolio.
  • The BCOM commodities basket delivered a 36% total return year-to-date.
  • BCOM Energy surged 98% and oil products climbed 136% amid oil shocks.

Forget the 60/40. In a year when an oil shock has been hitting stocks and bonds at the same time, the one asset class that actually hedged was the thing doing the hitting.

According to a new note from Goldman's commodities team led by Daan Struyven (available to pro subs), the BCOM commodities basket has delivered a 36% total return year-to-date, against +13% for the S&P 500, -5% for 10Y Treasuries and -8% for the 30Y. Within commodities it gets sillier: BCOM Energy is up 98% and oil products a cool 136%.

When Oil Moves, Everything Moves The Wrong Way

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